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Last update: 23.01.2026 20.00 UTC
Premier League Team Projections
⚽ Goal Projections
| Home | Home xG | Away xG | Away |
|---|
| Arsenal | 1.99 | 0.82 | Man Utd |
| Bournemouth | 1.53 | 1.68 | Liverpool |
| Brentford | 1.86 | 1.14 | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 1.02 | 1.59 | Spurs |
| Crystal Palace | 1.49 | 1.53 | Chelsea |
| Everton | 1.52 | 1.0 | Leeds |
| Fulham | 1.41 | 1.32 | Brighton |
| Man City | 2.35 | 0.77 | Wolves |
| Newcastle | 1.71 | 1.06 | Aston Villa |
| West Ham | 1.73 | 1.0 | Sunderland |
| Wolves | 1.2 | 1.54 | Bournemouth |
| Sunderland | 1.39 | 1.01 | Burnley |
| Spurs | 1.17 | 1.76 | Man City |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.35 | 1.54 | Crystal Palace |
| Man Utd | 1.68 | 1.16 | Fulham |
| Brighton | 1.69 | 1.04 | Everton |
| Leeds | 0.76 | 1.78 | Arsenal |
| Chelsea | 2.41 | 0.88 | West Ham |
| Aston Villa | 1.48 | 1.34 | Brentford |
| Liverpool | 2.0 | 1.22 | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 1.71 | 1.47 | Man City |
| Newcastle | 1.78 | 1.25 | Brentford |
| Man Utd | 1.84 | 1.2 | Spurs |
| Leeds | 1.39 | 1.27 | Nott'm Forest |
| Wolves | 1.03 | 1.79 | Chelsea |
| Burnley | 1.16 | 1.4 | West Ham |
| Brighton | 1.65 | 1.39 | Crystal Palace |
| Bournemouth | 1.7 | 1.13 | Aston Villa |
| Arsenal | 2.59 | 0.49 | Sunderland |
| Fulham | 1.42 | 1.03 | Everton |
| West Ham | 1.33 | 1.67 | Man Utd |
| Sunderland | 0.92 | 2.27 | Liverpool |
| Spurs | 1.37 | 1.47 | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.57 | 1.07 | Wolves |
| Man City | 2.02 | 0.9 | Fulham |
| Everton | 1.3 | 1.36 | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 2.38 | 0.74 | Burnley |
| Chelsea | 2.28 | 0.85 | Leeds |
| Brentford | 1.02 | 1.6 | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 1.43 | 1.34 | Brighton |
| Sunderland | 1.0 | 1.51 | Fulham |
| Spurs | 0.89 | 1.66 | Arsenal |
| West Ham | 1.28 | 1.66 | Bournemouth |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.24 | 1.88 | Liverpool |
| Man City | 1.93 | 1.09 | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 2.69 | 0.64 | Burnley |
| Crystal Palace | 1.99 | 0.94 | Wolves |
| Brentford | 1.68 | 1.39 | Brighton |
| Aston Villa | 1.65 | 1.0 | Leeds |
| Everton | 1.35 | 1.36 | Man Utd |
| Newcastle | 1.72 | 0.98 | Everton |
| Arsenal | 1.66 | 0.95 | Chelsea |
| Bournemouth | 2.27 | 0.8 | Sunderland |
| Brighton | 1.87 | 1.1 | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 0.98 | 1.83 | Brentford |
| Fulham | 1.53 | 1.15 | Spurs |
| Leeds | 1.0 | 1.89 | Man City |
| Liverpool | 2.62 | 0.92 | West Ham |
| Man Utd | 1.67 | 1.43 | Crystal Palace |
| Wolves | 1.21 | 1.3 | Aston Villa |
🧱 Clean Sheet Probabilities
| Home | Home Clean Sheet Probability | Away Clean Sheet Probability | Away |
|---|
| Arsenal | 44% | 14% | Man Utd |
| Bournemouth | 19% | 22% | Liverpool |
| Brentford | 32% | 16% | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 20% | 36% | Spurs |
| Crystal Palace | 22% | 23% | Chelsea |
| Everton | 37% | 22% | Leeds |
| Fulham | 27% | 24% | Brighton |
| Man City | 46% | 10% | Wolves |
| Newcastle | 35% | 18% | Aston Villa |
| West Ham | 37% | 18% | Sunderland |
| Wolves | 21% | 30% | Bournemouth |
| Sunderland | 36% | 25% | Burnley |
| Spurs | 17% | 31% | Man City |
| Nott'm Forest | 21% | 26% | Crystal Palace |
| Man Utd | 31% | 19% | Fulham |
| Brighton | 35% | 18% | Everton |
| Leeds | 17% | 47% | Arsenal |
| Chelsea | 41% | 9% | West Ham |
| Aston Villa | 26% | 23% | Brentford |
| Liverpool | 30% | 14% | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 23% | 18% | Man City |
| Newcastle | 29% | 17% | Brentford |
| Man Utd | 30% | 16% | Spurs |
| Leeds | 28% | 25% | Nott'm Forest |
| Wolves | 17% | 36% | Chelsea |
| Burnley | 25% | 31% | West Ham |
| Brighton | 25% | 19% | Crystal Palace |
| Bournemouth | 32% | 18% | Aston Villa |
| Arsenal | 61% | 8% | Sunderland |
| Fulham | 36% | 24% | Everton |
| West Ham | 19% | 26% | Man Utd |
| Sunderland | 10% | 40% | Liverpool |
| Spurs | 23% | 25% | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 34% | 21% | Wolves |
| Man City | 41% | 13% | Fulham |
| Everton | 26% | 27% | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 48% | 9% | Burnley |
| Chelsea | 43% | 10% | Leeds |
| Brentford | 20% | 36% | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 26% | 24% | Brighton |
| Sunderland | 22% | 37% | Fulham |
| Spurs | 19% | 41% | Arsenal |
| West Ham | 19% | 28% | Bournemouth |
| Nott'm Forest | 15% | 29% | Liverpool |
| Man City | 34% | 15% | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 53% | 7% | Burnley |
| Crystal Palace | 39% | 14% | Wolves |
| Brentford | 25% | 19% | Brighton |
| Aston Villa | 37% | 19% | Leeds |
| Everton | 26% | 26% | Man Utd |
| Newcastle | 38% | 18% | Everton |
| Arsenal | 39% | 19% | Chelsea |
| Bournemouth | 45% | 10% | Sunderland |
| Brighton | 33% | 15% | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 16% | 38% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 32% | 22% | Spurs |
| Leeds | 15% | 37% | Man City |
| Liverpool | 40% | 7% | West Ham |
| Man Utd | 24% | 19% | Crystal Palace |
| Wolves | 27% | 30% | Aston Villa |
🎯 Match Outcome Probabilities
| Home | Home Win Probability | Draw Probability | Away Win Probability | Away |
|---|
| Arsenal | 65% | 21% | 15% | Man Utd |
| Bournemouth | 35% | 23% | 42% | Liverpool |
| Brentford | 54% | 23% | 23% | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 24% | 25% | 51% | Spurs |
| Crystal Palace | 37% | 24% | 39% | Chelsea |
| Everton | 49% | 26% | 25% | Leeds |
| Fulham | 39% | 26% | 35% | Brighton |
| Man City | 73% | 17% | 10% | Wolves |
| Newcastle | 53% | 24% | 23% | Aston Villa |
| West Ham | 55% | 24% | 22% | Sunderland |
| Wolves | 30% | 25% | 45% | Bournemouth |
| Sunderland | 46% | 27% | 27% | Burnley |
| Spurs | 25% | 23% | 51% | Man City |
| Nott'm Forest | 33% | 25% | 42% | Crystal Palace |
| Man Utd | 50% | 24% | 26% | Fulham |
| Brighton | 53% | 24% | 23% | Everton |
| Leeds | 16% | 23% | 62% | Arsenal |
| Chelsea | 71% | 17% | 12% | West Ham |
| Aston Villa | 41% | 25% | 34% | Brentford |
| Liverpool | 55% | 22% | 23% | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 43% | 23% | 33% | Man City |
| Newcastle | 50% | 23% | 27% | Brentford |
| Man Utd | 52% | 23% | 25% | Spurs |
| Leeds | 40% | 26% | 34% | Nott'm Forest |
| Wolves | 22% | 23% | 55% | Chelsea |
| Burnley | 31% | 26% | 42% | West Ham |
| Brighton | 44% | 24% | 32% | Crystal Palace |
| Bournemouth | 51% | 24% | 25% | Aston Villa |
| Arsenal | 82% | 13% | 5% | Sunderland |
| Fulham | 46% | 27% | 27% | Everton |
| West Ham | 31% | 24% | 45% | Man Utd |
| Sunderland | 14% | 18% | 68% | Liverpool |
| Spurs | 35% | 25% | 40% | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 49% | 25% | 26% | Wolves |
| Man City | 63% | 21% | 16% | Fulham |
| Everton | 36% | 26% | 38% | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 74% | 16% | 10% | Burnley |
| Chelsea | 70% | 18% | 12% | Leeds |
| Brentford | 24% | 25% | 51% | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 39% | 25% | 35% | Brighton |
| Sunderland | 25% | 26% | 49% | Fulham |
| Spurs | 20% | 24% | 56% | Arsenal |
| West Ham | 30% | 24% | 46% | Bournemouth |
| Nott'm Forest | 25% | 23% | 52% | Liverpool |
| Man City | 57% | 22% | 21% | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 80% | 13% | 6% | Burnley |
| Crystal Palace | 62% | 21% | 17% | Wolves |
| Brentford | 44% | 24% | 32% | Brighton |
| Aston Villa | 53% | 25% | 23% | Leeds |
| Everton | 37% | 26% | 37% | Man Utd |
| Newcastle | 55% | 24% | 21% | Everton |
| Arsenal | 54% | 24% | 22% | Chelsea |
| Bournemouth | 71% | 18% | 12% | Sunderland |
| Brighton | 55% | 23% | 22% | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 20% | 23% | 57% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 46% | 25% | 29% | Spurs |
| Leeds | 20% | 22% | 58% | Man City |
| Liverpool | 74% | 15% | 11% | West Ham |
| Man Utd | 43% | 24% | 33% | Crystal Palace |
| Wolves | 34% | 27% | 39% | Aston Villa |
💸 Betting Odds
| Home | Home Win Odds | Draw Odds | Away Win Odds | Away |
|---|
| Arsenal | 1.55 | 4.84 | 6.85 | Man Utd |
| Bournemouth | 2.85 | 4.29 | 2.41 | Liverpool |
| Brentford | 1.85 | 4.42 | 4.32 | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 4.11 | 3.99 | 1.98 | Spurs |
| Crystal Palace | 2.7 | 4.13 | 2.58 | Chelsea |
| Everton | 2.03 | 3.88 | 4.02 | Leeds |
| Fulham | 2.55 | 3.9 | 2.85 | Brighton |
| Man City | 1.38 | 5.94 | 9.54 | Wolves |
| Newcastle | 1.9 | 4.18 | 4.26 | Aston Villa |
| West Ham | 1.83 | 4.21 | 4.6 | Sunderland |
| Wolves | 3.37 | 3.97 | 2.21 | Bournemouth |
| Sunderland | 2.19 | 3.7 | 3.66 | Burnley |
| Spurs | 3.95 | 4.26 | 1.95 | Man City |
| Nott'm Forest | 2.99 | 4.05 | 2.39 | Crystal Palace |
| Man Utd | 2.02 | 4.14 | 3.8 | Fulham |
| Brighton | 1.9 | 4.15 | 4.29 | Everton |
| Leeds | 6.44 | 4.39 | 1.62 | Arsenal |
| Chelsea | 1.41 | 5.9 | 8.43 | West Ham |
| Aston Villa | 2.46 | 3.98 | 2.92 | Brentford |
| Liverpool | 1.8 | 4.63 | 4.35 | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 2.3 | 4.29 | 3.01 | Man City |
| Newcastle | 2.01 | 4.3 | 3.72 | Brentford |
| Man Utd | 1.91 | 4.38 | 4.03 | Spurs |
| Leeds | 2.51 | 3.85 | 2.92 | Nott'm Forest |
| Wolves | 4.62 | 4.31 | 1.81 | Chelsea |
| Burnley | 3.21 | 3.79 | 2.36 | West Ham |
| Brighton | 2.29 | 4.18 | 3.09 | Crystal Palace |
| Bournemouth | 1.97 | 4.17 | 3.95 | Aston Villa |
| Arsenal | 1.21 | 7.96 | 20.08 | Sunderland |
| Fulham | 2.18 | 3.75 | 3.66 | Everton |
| West Ham | 3.27 | 4.18 | 2.2 | Man Utd |
| Sunderland | 7.24 | 5.44 | 1.48 | Liverpool |
| Spurs | 2.84 | 3.99 | 2.52 | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 2.04 | 3.97 | 3.86 | Wolves |
| Man City | 1.58 | 4.84 | 6.27 | Fulham |
| Everton | 2.81 | 3.84 | 2.61 | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 1.36 | 6.11 | 10.24 | Burnley |
| Chelsea | 1.44 | 5.57 | 8.04 | Leeds |
| Brentford | 4.14 | 4.0 | 1.97 | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 2.54 | 3.94 | 2.84 | Brighton |
| Sunderland | 3.99 | 3.86 | 2.04 | Fulham |
| Spurs | 4.98 | 4.1 | 1.8 | Arsenal |
| West Ham | 3.38 | 4.15 | 2.16 | Bournemouth |
| Nott'm Forest | 3.98 | 4.44 | 1.91 | Liverpool |
| Man City | 1.76 | 4.55 | 4.74 | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 1.24 | 7.72 | 15.51 | Burnley |
| Crystal Palace | 1.62 | 4.74 | 5.85 | Wolves |
| Brentford | 2.25 | 4.22 | 3.14 | Brighton |
| Aston Villa | 1.9 | 4.08 | 4.37 | Leeds |
| Everton | 2.71 | 3.88 | 2.68 | Man Utd |
| Newcastle | 1.83 | 4.2 | 4.67 | Everton |
| Arsenal | 1.85 | 4.1 | 4.64 | Chelsea |
| Bournemouth | 1.42 | 5.63 | 8.59 | Sunderland |
| Brighton | 1.81 | 4.44 | 4.52 | Nott'm Forest |
| Burnley | 5.02 | 4.4 | 1.74 | Brentford |
| Fulham | 2.17 | 3.94 | 3.5 | Spurs |
| Leeds | 5.1 | 4.5 | 1.72 | Man City |
| Liverpool | 1.36 | 6.48 | 9.2 | West Ham |
| Man Utd | 2.31 | 4.22 | 3.03 | Crystal Palace |
| Wolves | 2.91 | 3.72 | 2.58 | Aston Villa |
📊 Team Clean Sheet Totals
| Team | GW23 CS Prob | GW24 CS Prob | GW25 CS Prob | GW26 CS Prob | GW27 CS Prob | GW28 CS Prob | Total Expected Clean Sheets |
|---|
| Arsenal | 0.44 | 0.47 | 0.61 | 0.36 | 0.41 | 0.39 | 2.68 |
| Chelsea | 0.23 | 0.41 | 0.36 | 0.43 | 0.53 | 0.19 | 2.15 |
| Man City | 0.46 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.41 | 0.34 | 0.37 | 2.07 |
| Liverpool | 0.22 | 0.3 | 0.23 | 0.4 | 0.29 | 0.4 | 1.84 |
| Bournemouth | 0.19 | 0.3 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.28 | 0.45 | 1.81 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.22 | 0.26 | 0.19 | 0.48 | 0.39 | 0.19 | 1.73 |
| Fulham | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.36 | 0.13 | 0.37 | 0.32 | 1.64 |
| Brighton | 0.24 | 0.35 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 0.19 | 0.33 | 1.6 |
| Newcastle | 0.35 | 0.14 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.15 | 0.38 | 1.56 |
| Brentford | 0.32 | 0.23 | 0.17 | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 1.55 |
| Aston Villa | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 0.3 | 1.55 |
| Man Utd | 0.14 | 0.31 | 0.3 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.24 | 1.51 |
| Everton | 0.37 | 0.18 | 0.24 | 0.26 | 0.26 | 0.18 | 1.49 |
| Spurs | 0.36 | 0.17 | 0.16 | 0.23 | 0.19 | 0.22 | 1.33 |
| Nott'm Forest | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.25 | 0.34 | 0.15 | 0.15 | 1.26 |
| West Ham | 0.37 | 0.09 | 0.31 | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.07 | 1.22 |
| Leeds | 0.22 | 0.17 | 0.28 | 0.1 | 0.19 | 0.15 | 1.11 |
| Wolves | 0.1 | 0.21 | 0.17 | 0.21 | 0.14 | 0.27 | 1.1 |
| Sunderland | 0.18 | 0.36 | 0.08 | 0.1 | 0.22 | 0.1 | 1.04 |
| Burnley | 0.2 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.09 | 0.07 | 0.16 | 1.02 |