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Last update: 27.09.2025 21.00 UTC
Premier League Team Projections
⚽ Goal Projections
| Home | Home xG | Away xG | Away |
|---|
| Aston Villa | 1.61 | 1.15 | Fulham |
| Brentford | 1.77 | 1.39 | Man Utd |
| Chelsea | 1.95 | 1.2 | Brighton |
| Crystal Palace | 1.38 | 1.89 | Liverpool |
| Everton | 1.43 | 1.02 | West Ham |
| Leeds | 1.16 | 1.78 | Bournemouth |
| Man City | 2.55 | 0.61 | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 1.33 | 1.45 | Arsenal |
| Nott'm Forest | 2.12 | 0.8 | Sunderland |
| Spurs | 1.9 | 1.15 | Wolves |
| Wolves | 1.36 | 1.56 | Brighton |
| Newcastle | 1.98 | 1.04 | Nott'm Forest |
| Man Utd | 2.46 | 0.79 | Sunderland |
| Leeds | 1.28 | 1.73 | Spurs |
| Everton | 1.3 | 1.29 | Crystal Palace |
| Aston Villa | 2.0 | 0.74 | Burnley |
| Brentford | 1.35 | 1.83 | Man City |
| Bournemouth | 1.71 | 1.17 | Fulham |
| Arsenal | 2.13 | 0.77 | West Ham |
| Chelsea | 1.53 | 1.6 | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.18 | 1.6 | Chelsea |
| Sunderland | 1.08 | 1.64 | Wolves |
| Spurs | 1.65 | 1.43 | Aston Villa |
| Man City | 1.97 | 0.81 | Everton |
| West Ham | 1.5 | 1.51 | Brentford |
| Fulham | 1.05 | 1.48 | Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace | 1.7 | 1.41 | Bournemouth |
| Burnley | 1.23 | 1.14 | Leeds |
| Brighton | 1.68 | 1.53 | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 2.43 | 1.01 | Man Utd |
| Wolves | 1.61 | 0.86 | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 1.84 | 1.14 | Fulham |
| Man Utd | 1.62 | 1.45 | Brighton |
| Leeds | 1.31 | 1.4 | West Ham |
| Everton | 1.4 | 1.26 | Spurs |
| Chelsea | 2.97 | 0.66 | Sunderland |
| Brentford | 1.36 | 2.05 | Liverpool |
| Bournemouth | 1.84 | 1.07 | Nott'm Forest |
| Aston Villa | 1.31 | 1.62 | Man City |
| Arsenal | 1.93 | 0.97 | Crystal Palace |
| Sunderland | 0.9 | 1.58 | Everton |
| Spurs | 1.46 | 1.66 | Chelsea |
| West Ham | 1.31 | 1.67 | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.42 | 1.33 | Man Utd |
| Man City | 2.07 | 1.1 | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 1.9 | 1.37 | Brentford |
| Fulham | 1.67 | 1.03 | Wolves |
| Burnley | 0.68 | 1.84 | Arsenal |
| Brighton | 2.26 | 0.96 | Leeds |
| Liverpool | 2.28 | 1.05 | Aston Villa |
| Sunderland | 0.68 | 2.35 | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 1.63 | 1.35 | Bournemouth |
| Brentford | 1.63 | 1.64 | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 2.14 | 0.91 | Wolves |
| Crystal Palace | 1.76 | 1.41 | Brighton |
| Everton | 1.25 | 1.11 | Fulham |
| Man City | 1.68 | 1.48 | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.76 | 0.99 | Leeds |
| Spurs | 1.76 | 1.38 | Man Utd |
| West Ham | 1.66 | 0.85 | Burnley |
🧱 Clean Sheet Probabilities
| Home | Home Clean Sheet Probability | Away Clean Sheet Probability | Away |
|---|
| Aston Villa | 32% | 20% | Fulham |
| Brentford | 25% | 17% | Man Utd |
| Chelsea | 30% | 14% | Brighton |
| Crystal Palace | 15% | 25% | Liverpool |
| Everton | 36% | 24% | West Ham |
| Leeds | 17% | 31% | Bournemouth |
| Man City | 54% | 8% | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 23% | 26% | Arsenal |
| Nott'm Forest | 45% | 12% | Sunderland |
| Spurs | 32% | 15% | Wolves |
| Wolves | 21% | 26% | Brighton |
| Newcastle | 35% | 14% | Nott'm Forest |
| Man Utd | 45% | 9% | Sunderland |
| Leeds | 18% | 28% | Spurs |
| Everton | 28% | 27% | Crystal Palace |
| Aston Villa | 48% | 14% | Burnley |
| Brentford | 16% | 26% | Man City |
| Bournemouth | 31% | 18% | Fulham |
| Arsenal | 46% | 12% | West Ham |
| Chelsea | 20% | 22% | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 20% | 31% | Chelsea |
| Sunderland | 19% | 34% | Wolves |
| Spurs | 24% | 19% | Aston Villa |
| Man City | 44% | 14% | Everton |
| West Ham | 22% | 22% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 23% | 35% | Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace | 24% | 18% | Bournemouth |
| Burnley | 32% | 29% | Leeds |
| Brighton | 22% | 19% | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 36% | 9% | Man Utd |
| Wolves | 42% | 20% | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 32% | 16% | Fulham |
| Man Utd | 23% | 20% | Brighton |
| Leeds | 25% | 27% | West Ham |
| Everton | 28% | 25% | Spurs |
| Chelsea | 52% | 5% | Sunderland |
| Brentford | 13% | 26% | Liverpool |
| Bournemouth | 34% | 16% | Nott'm Forest |
| Aston Villa | 20% | 27% | Man City |
| Arsenal | 38% | 15% | Crystal Palace |
| Sunderland | 21% | 41% | Everton |
| Spurs | 19% | 23% | Chelsea |
| West Ham | 19% | 27% | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 26% | 24% | Man Utd |
| Man City | 33% | 13% | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 25% | 15% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 36% | 19% | Wolves |
| Burnley | 16% | 51% | Arsenal |
| Brighton | 38% | 10% | Leeds |
| Liverpool | 35% | 10% | Aston Villa |
| Sunderland | 10% | 51% | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 26% | 20% | Bournemouth |
| Brentford | 19% | 20% | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 40% | 12% | Wolves |
| Crystal Palace | 24% | 17% | Brighton |
| Everton | 33% | 29% | Fulham |
| Man City | 23% | 19% | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 37% | 17% | Leeds |
| Spurs | 25% | 17% | Man Utd |
| West Ham | 43% | 19% | Burnley |
🎯 Match Outcome Probabilities
| Home | Home Win Probability | Draw Probability | Away Win Probability | Away |
|---|
| Aston Villa | 48% | 25% | 27% | Fulham |
| Brentford | 47% | 23% | 30% | Man Utd |
| Chelsea | 55% | 22% | 23% | Brighton |
| Crystal Palace | 28% | 22% | 49% | Liverpool |
| Everton | 46% | 27% | 27% | West Ham |
| Leeds | 25% | 23% | 52% | Bournemouth |
| Man City | 79% | 14% | 7% | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 35% | 25% | 40% | Arsenal |
| Nott'm Forest | 68% | 19% | 13% | Sunderland |
| Spurs | 55% | 22% | 23% | Wolves |
| Wolves | 33% | 25% | 42% | Brighton |
| Newcastle | 59% | 21% | 19% | Nott'm Forest |
| Man Utd | 74% | 16% | 10% | Sunderland |
| Leeds | 28% | 24% | 48% | Spurs |
| Everton | 37% | 26% | 37% | Crystal Palace |
| Aston Villa | 67% | 20% | 13% | Burnley |
| Brentford | 28% | 23% | 49% | Man City |
| Bournemouth | 50% | 24% | 26% | Fulham |
| Arsenal | 69% | 19% | 12% | West Ham |
| Chelsea | 37% | 24% | 40% | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 28% | 25% | 47% | Chelsea |
| Sunderland | 25% | 25% | 50% | Wolves |
| Spurs | 43% | 24% | 33% | Aston Villa |
| Man City | 65% | 21% | 15% | Everton |
| West Ham | 38% | 24% | 38% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 27% | 26% | 47% | Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace | 44% | 24% | 32% | Bournemouth |
| Burnley | 38% | 28% | 34% | Leeds |
| Brighton | 42% | 23% | 35% | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 69% | 17% | 14% | Man Utd |
| Wolves | 55% | 25% | 20% | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 54% | 23% | 23% | Fulham |
| Man Utd | 42% | 24% | 34% | Brighton |
| Leeds | 35% | 26% | 39% | West Ham |
| Everton | 40% | 26% | 34% | Spurs |
| Chelsea | 83% | 11% | 5% | Sunderland |
| Brentford | 25% | 21% | 53% | Liverpool |
| Bournemouth | 55% | 23% | 22% | Nott'm Forest |
| Aston Villa | 31% | 24% | 45% | Man City |
| Arsenal | 60% | 22% | 18% | Crystal Palace |
| Sunderland | 21% | 25% | 53% | Everton |
| Spurs | 34% | 24% | 42% | Chelsea |
| West Ham | 30% | 24% | 46% | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 39% | 26% | 35% | Man Utd |
| Man City | 60% | 21% | 20% | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 50% | 22% | 28% | Brentford |
| Fulham | 52% | 24% | 23% | Wolves |
| Burnley | 13% | 22% | 65% | Arsenal |
| Brighton | 67% | 19% | 15% | Leeds |
| Liverpool | 65% | 19% | 16% | Aston Villa |
| Sunderland | 9% | 16% | 75% | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 44% | 24% | 32% | Bournemouth |
| Brentford | 38% | 23% | 39% | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 66% | 20% | 15% | Wolves |
| Crystal Palace | 46% | 23% | 31% | Brighton |
| Everton | 39% | 28% | 33% | Fulham |
| Man City | 43% | 23% | 34% | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 55% | 23% | 21% | Leeds |
| Spurs | 47% | 23% | 30% | Man Utd |
| West Ham | 57% | 24% | 19% | Burnley |
💸 Betting Odds
| Home | Home Win Odds | Draw Odds | Away Win Odds | Away |
|---|
| Aston Villa | 2.08 | 4.04 | 3.67 | Fulham |
| Brentford | 2.15 | 4.32 | 3.3 | Man Utd |
| Chelsea | 1.82 | 4.56 | 4.31 | Brighton |
| Crystal Palace | 3.56 | 4.47 | 2.02 | Liverpool |
| Everton | 2.15 | 3.76 | 3.72 | West Ham |
| Leeds | 4.03 | 4.29 | 1.93 | Bournemouth |
| Man City | 1.26 | 7.2 | 14.81 | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 2.89 | 3.95 | 2.5 | Arsenal |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.48 | 5.2 | 7.73 | Sunderland |
| Spurs | 1.82 | 4.48 | 4.38 | Wolves |
| Wolves | 3.0 | 4.07 | 2.37 | Brighton |
| Newcastle | 1.69 | 4.66 | 5.17 | Nott'm Forest |
| Man Utd | 1.35 | 6.26 | 10.0 | Sunderland |
| Leeds | 3.52 | 4.24 | 2.08 | Spurs |
| Everton | 2.7 | 3.78 | 2.74 | Crystal Palace |
| Aston Villa | 1.49 | 4.95 | 7.77 | Burnley |
| Brentford | 3.52 | 4.38 | 2.05 | Man City |
| Bournemouth | 2.0 | 4.19 | 3.83 | Fulham |
| Arsenal | 1.46 | 5.27 | 8.14 | West Ham |
| Chelsea | 2.73 | 4.22 | 2.52 | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 3.55 | 4.04 | 2.12 | Chelsea |
| Sunderland | 4.0 | 4.07 | 1.98 | Wolves |
| Spurs | 2.33 | 4.2 | 3.0 | Aston Villa |
| Man City | 1.55 | 4.8 | 6.85 | Everton |
| West Ham | 2.66 | 4.12 | 2.63 | Brentford |
| Fulham | 3.72 | 3.84 | 2.12 | Arsenal |
| Crystal Palace | 2.25 | 4.25 | 3.13 | Bournemouth |
| Burnley | 2.61 | 3.59 | 2.95 | Leeds |
| Brighton | 2.41 | 4.29 | 2.85 | Newcastle |
| Liverpool | 1.46 | 5.73 | 7.18 | Man Utd |
| Wolves | 1.82 | 4.02 | 5.0 | Burnley |
| Newcastle | 1.86 | 4.38 | 4.26 | Fulham |
| Man Utd | 2.4 | 4.19 | 2.91 | Brighton |
| Leeds | 2.85 | 3.89 | 2.55 | West Ham |
| Everton | 2.48 | 3.85 | 2.96 | Spurs |
| Chelsea | 1.2 | 9.07 | 18.43 | Sunderland |
| Brentford | 3.96 | 4.69 | 1.87 | Liverpool |
| Bournemouth | 1.81 | 4.39 | 4.58 | Nott'm Forest |
| Aston Villa | 3.23 | 4.11 | 2.24 | Man City |
| Arsenal | 1.67 | 4.6 | 5.42 | Crystal Palace |
| Sunderland | 4.66 | 3.96 | 1.88 | Everton |
| Spurs | 2.95 | 4.23 | 2.35 | Chelsea |
| West Ham | 3.32 | 4.17 | 2.18 | Newcastle |
| Nott'm Forest | 2.54 | 3.92 | 2.84 | Man Utd |
| Man City | 1.68 | 4.81 | 5.13 | Bournemouth |
| Crystal Palace | 2.0 | 4.48 | 3.61 | Brentford |
| Fulham | 1.91 | 4.11 | 4.28 | Wolves |
| Burnley | 7.62 | 4.6 | 1.54 | Arsenal |
| Brighton | 1.5 | 5.36 | 6.83 | Leeds |
| Liverpool | 1.54 | 5.3 | 6.2 | Aston Villa |
| Sunderland | 11.12 | 6.16 | 1.34 | Arsenal |
| Aston Villa | 2.27 | 4.14 | 3.15 | Bournemouth |
| Brentford | 2.62 | 4.32 | 2.59 | Newcastle |
| Chelsea | 1.53 | 5.12 | 6.72 | Wolves |
| Crystal Palace | 2.18 | 4.31 | 3.23 | Brighton |
| Everton | 2.53 | 3.59 | 3.06 | Fulham |
| Man City | 2.35 | 4.26 | 2.94 | Liverpool |
| Nott'm Forest | 1.8 | 4.27 | 4.74 | Leeds |
| Spurs | 2.15 | 4.3 | 3.31 | Man Utd |
| West Ham | 1.77 | 4.11 | 5.23 | Burnley |
📊 Team Clean Sheet Totals
| Team | GW6 CS Prob | GW7 CS Prob | GW8 CS Prob | GW9 CS Prob | GW10 CS Prob | GW11 CS Prob | Total Expected Clean Sheets |
|---|
| Arsenal | 0.26 | 0.46 | 0.35 | 0.38 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 2.47 |
| Man City | 0.54 | 0.26 | 0.44 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.23 | 2.07 |
| Chelsea | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.31 | 0.52 | 0.23 | 0.4 | 1.96 |
| Everton | 0.36 | 0.28 | 0.14 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 0.33 | 1.8 |
| Liverpool | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.36 | 0.26 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 1.63 |
| Nott'm Forest | 0.45 | 0.14 | 0.2 | 0.16 | 0.26 | 0.37 | 1.58 |
| Newcastle | 0.23 | 0.35 | 0.19 | 0.32 | 0.27 | 0.2 | 1.56 |
| Aston Villa | 0.32 | 0.48 | 0.19 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.26 | 1.55 |
| Spurs | 0.32 | 0.28 | 0.24 | 0.25 | 0.19 | 0.25 | 1.53 |
| Bournemouth | 0.31 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.34 | 0.13 | 0.2 | 1.47 |
| West Ham | 0.24 | 0.12 | 0.22 | 0.27 | 0.19 | 0.43 | 1.47 |
| Wolves | 0.15 | 0.21 | 0.34 | 0.42 | 0.19 | 0.12 | 1.43 |
| Fulham | 0.2 | 0.18 | 0.23 | 0.16 | 0.36 | 0.29 | 1.42 |
| Brighton | 0.14 | 0.26 | 0.22 | 0.2 | 0.38 | 0.17 | 1.37 |
| Man Utd | 0.17 | 0.45 | 0.09 | 0.23 | 0.24 | 0.17 | 1.35 |
| Crystal Palace | 0.15 | 0.27 | 0.24 | 0.15 | 0.25 | 0.24 | 1.3 |
| Leeds | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.29 | 0.25 | 0.1 | 0.17 | 1.16 |
| Brentford | 0.25 | 0.16 | 0.22 | 0.13 | 0.15 | 0.19 | 1.1 |
| Burnley | 0.08 | 0.14 | 0.32 | 0.2 | 0.16 | 0.19 | 1.09 |
| Sunderland | 0.12 | 0.09 | 0.19 | 0.05 | 0.21 | 0.1 | 0.76 |